Section
Economy
Fed's Mary Daly Says Inflation Expectations Stable Despite Energy Surge
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said inflation expectations remain stable despite the recent surge in energy prices, adding that the central bank must work on price stability without overreacting to the economic effects of the Iran conflict and trade tariffs.
Trade court strikes down Trump 10 per cent tariff on most imports
A federal trade court has voided President Trump's 10 per cent blanket tariff on most imports, the second major legal defeat for the administration's trade agenda this year. The 2-1 ruling found the White House had overstepped its authority by reimposing duties under a different statute after the Supreme Court struck them down.
Treasury hikes Series I bond rate to 4.26% as inflation jumps to 3.3%
The U.S. Treasury raised the Series I savings bond rate to 4.26 per cent on Thursday after a March CPI report that showed annual inflation jumping from 2.4 to 3.3 per cent. Almost all of the move traces to a single variable: the price of oil.
Rupiah hits record low as Bank Indonesia tightens FX rules for third time in two months
Bank Indonesia cut the threshold for undocumented dollar purchases to $25,000 on Tuesday after the rupiah closed at a record 17,445. Reserves are draining across emerging Asia, and the post-1998 playbook is showing its age.
Long bonds crack 5% then ease as Treasury holds $125bn refunding line
The 30-year US Treasury yield touched 5.03 per cent on Monday, its first break above the threshold since July, before pulling back. On Wednesday Treasury kept its $125 billion refunding plan flat and held the line on its forward guidance.
Big Tech AI capex now drives three-quarters of US GDP growth
Capital expenditure on AI infrastructure by Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta and Oracle is now responsible for roughly 75 per cent of all US economic growth in Q1 2026, according to estimates compiled this week. Stop the AI build-out and you print a recession headline within two quarters.
UK 30-year gilt yields hit 28-year high as Iran war and election jitters collide
The yield on 30-year UK government bonds climbed to 5.78 per cent on Tuesday, the highest level since 1998, as the Iran war drove up energy prices and traders weighed a possible leadership challenge to Sir Keir Starmer after Thursday's local elections.
Powell hands divided Fed to Warsh as 'integrity' speech caps tumultuous chairmanship
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, in what was almost certainly his last press conference at the helm, said 'integrity is priceless' and warned the Trump administration's 'illegal attacks' on the Fed risked compromising monetary policy. He will stay on the Board of Governors after his May 15 term ends.
Brent retreats below $111 as UAE exit eases supply jitters
Brent crude prices fell 3.6 per cent to $110.4 a barrel on Tuesday as traders weighed the UAE's departure from OPEC against the war in Iran and another round of Iranian missile and drone strikes against Gulf shipping.
UAE's exit from OPEC redraws the global oil order
The UAE's withdrawal from OPEC, made effective May 1, has knocked the third-largest producer out of the cartel and tilted Gulf geopolitics toward Washington. ADNOC accelerated $55 billion in project awards as it pushes capacity to 5 million bpd by 2027.
Wall Street closes at record highs as oil eases and US hiring surges
US stock markets closed at fresh record highs on Tuesday after a sharp pullback in oil prices and another wave of better-than-expected earnings reasserted Wall Street's ability to look past the Iran war. The S&P 500 rose 0.8 per cent to 7,259.22, a fresh all-time high.
